Macro Pulse
We discuss movements in the Treasury curve in this week’s note.
Megatrends
Go beyond the headlines to understand the structural forces changing how the world grows, invests, and allocates capital.
How we identify megatrends
A megatrend is a large-scale, long-term shift with the power to reshape economies, societies, technologies, and investor behavior. These forces unfold over decades, but their portfolio implications can begin much earlier.
Three forces we're tracking now
Debt Sustainability
Rising sovereign debt is testing policy credibility, interest burdens, and governments’ ability to finance growth.
Artificial Intelligence
The AI buildout is already here, with implications for infrastructure, energy, productivity, and capital spending.
(Re)globalization
Globalization is not ending. It is being rebuilt around resilience, security, and access to critical resources.
More on Megatrends
Market Matters
What’s Next for the U.S. Treasury Curve
Markets are focused on near-term inflation, even as U.S. debt has crossed 100% of GDP.
Macro Pulse
Global markets are adjusting to three distinct disruptions to early-year optimism: the Iran-driven oil shock, renewed credit concerns, and shifting sentiment around AI.
Market Matters
The Macro Impact of AI, with Special Guest Steve Friedman
AI is moving fast, but its macro impact is still unfolding.
Megatrends
Trust or Bust: The Era of Debt Sustainability
Julia Hermann discusses what makes debt sustainability an investment megatrend.
Macro Pulse
The Leaning Tower of Austerity: The Future of Sovereign Debt in Europe
Europe has a strong legacy of fiscal discipline, but often at the cost of productive investment.
Market Matters
The Great Wall of Liabilities: The Future of Debt in China
The team’s series on sovereign debt sustainability continues, this week with a focus on China.
Market Matters
The Future of U.S. Sovereign Debt
Join Julia and Steve for a deep dive into the sustainability – or lack thereof – of public debt in the United States.
Market Matters
Trust or Bust: The Megatrend of Global Debt Sustainability
Your hosts will launch the team’s latest megatrend research on global debt sustainability: can major economies keep up all this spending?
Megatrends
Artificial Intelligence: From Imagination to Investment
Julia Hermann highlights our Global Market Strategy team’s research on AI.
Megatrends
Why the World is Headed for Re-globalization
With seismic economic shifts come a new era of investment opportunities.
Megatrends
Is AI in a Bubble?
Julia Hermann explains why AI’s transformative potential still supports long-term investment conviction, even as valuations rise and near-term market dynamics shift.
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The Global Market Strategy Team
Our team of market strategists connects macroeconomics to asset allocation. We provide actionable insight into market-driving events, structural themes, and portfolio construction to empower investment decision-making.
Explore More Programs
The Global Market Strategy Team
Our team of market strategists connects macroeconomics to asset allocation. We provide actionable insight into market-driving events, structural themes, and portfolio construction to empower investment decision-making.
Explore More Programs
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